Everyone wants to know what the summer weather will be like. Fortunately, Vattenfall has its own meteorologists, Johan Sohlberg and Peter Kerkmans, who work in Stockholm and Amsterdam respectively. Their weather forecasts are typically used to plan Vattenfall’s power trading activities, but have also proved to be good for predicting holiday weather.
Wet and cool in Western Europe
For the western parts of Europe, including Germany and the Netherlands, the expectations for the coming summer are not great. The very wet weather of recent weeks in central and western Europe will improve, but for the rest of the summer the weather will probably be rather wet and cool with temperatures just below normal for the season.
“There will be some exceptions with nice weather, but these will be rather local and not last very long. Probably just a few days or a week at the most. We don’t expect any major, long-lasting high pressure areas this summer,” Peter Kerkmans says.
Warm in the south
The sun and heat will be found in the east and south of Europe.
“Spain, Italy, southern France and the south east of Europe will be on the warm side, but there will be risk for heavy showers,” Kerkmans says.
It’s the water temperatures in the Atlantic that define the weather this summer, especially the relatively low temperatures west of the UK. Also, heavy precipitation in Europe this spring has made the ground wet, which also prevents real build-up of temperatures in Western Europe.
Unsteady Midsummer in Sweden
In Sweden, the end of June is likely to see unstable weather with the best chances of good weather along the east coast.
“We will see low pressure coming in from the west, but there may be glimpses of the sun between the rain showers and then it can be quite hot. But there is a greater risk of unstable weather in the west. So the east coast is my best advice,” Johan Sohlberg says.
In July, it looks like that the low pressure areas will be pushed down south of Scandinavia, which means that it could be slightly warmer than normally is the case in Sweden. The chances of a proper hot summer are greatest in northern Sweden.
“However, we will probably get some intense rain and lightning storms now and then. The further south in Sweden we go, the more normal the temperatures are it seems,” he says.
During the last summer month of August, it looks like that the areas of low pressure could come back to Sweden.
“In western Sweden, it may become cooler than normal and there is clear risk of some rain. Also in August, the east coast of Sweden seems to get the best weather,” Johan Sohlberg says.